Claude AI Predicts What Bitcoin and Ethereum Could Be Worth by 2030 - 24/7 Wall St.

Claude AI’s analysis projects a wide range of outcomes for Bitcoin by 2030, with a base forecast of $165,000. The model anticipates Bitcoin will bottom out in the first half of 2027, testing its 200-week moving average near $68,000. This support level has historically been defended during past downturns.

The forecast hinges on a significant uptick in 2028, coinciding with Bitcoin’s halving in April. Historically, Bitcoin has tended to rise in the two years following a cycle low. If this pattern holds, Claude AI projects a potential peak around $210,000 in 2029, followed by a correction in 2030.

Bitcoin’s recovery is closely tied to the Federal Reserve ending its rate hikes by mid-2027 and producer price inflation falling back from 6.5%. Spot Bitcoin ETFs also need sustained inflows during 2027, though they posted about $284 million in net outflows on that same day.

Claude AI assigns a 68% chance to Bitcoin surpassing its all-time high by the end of 2030. This probability depends on Strategy Inc. maintaining its 850,364 Bitcoin holdings without forced sales from its removal from MSCI’s stock indexes.

For Ethereum, the model expects a later catch-up in the cycle, with a new high near $6,800 in 2029. The base forecast relies on tokenization and stablecoin use to lift its fee revenue. The ETH/BTC ratio is projected to reach 0.0315 by 2030, up from 0.0284 at the time of the forecast.

Ethereum’s Path to $5,200

Ethereum’s progress is closely linked to Bitcoin’s performance, with its forecast assigned a 52% chance of reaching a new all-time high by 2030. The model notes that Ethereum’s larger expected gain stems from its deeper drawdown from its August 2025 peak of $4,946, currently trading at $1,928.

To meet its bull scenario, Ethereum needs higher fee revenue on its main network and an end to outflows from Ethereum ETFs.

A key risk for Ethereum is fee revenue that fails to recover, potentially if activity shifts to cheaper layer 2 networks or rival chains. An ETH/BTC ratio below 0.0200 could signal this failure. The model concludes that while Bitcoin’s $165,000 target appears attainable, Ethereum’s $5,200 goal is less certain.