Human vs. ChatGPT NFL Week 10 betting picks: Ice-cold human seeks a rebound as AI gains ground
A human sports bettor and an artificial intelligence model faced off in Week 10 NFL picks, with the AI making the better financial return despite a difficult season.
A human sports bettor and an artificial intelligence model faced off in Week 10 NFL picks, with the AI making the better financial return despite a difficult season.
The human, Dan Zaksheske of OutKick, posted a losing slate of five picks, while the AI, GPT-6.1 Sol, secured a profit, narrowing the gap in their season-long competition.
Week 9 results
Zaksheske’s Week 9 picks went 2-3, resulting in a loss of 1.38 units, while the AI’s picks were 3-2, yielding a profit of 0.90 units.
The human’s losses included wagers on the Carolina Panthers (+3), Las Vegas Raiders (+9½), and Minnesota Vikings (+3½), while the AI’s wins came on the Green Bay Packers (+3), Los Angeles Rams (-4½), and Denver Broncos (-2½).
A profitable season in NFL betting, especially when I’ve committed to five bets per week, is something worth bragging about.
Zaksheske’s season record stands at 21-23-1, down 3.99 units, while the AI’s record is 19-25-1, down 7.67 units.
Week 10 betting card
Zaksheske’s Week 10 card features five picks, including the Washington Commanders (+2) on Thursday Night Football, the New England Patriots (+3) against the Detroit Lions, and the Houston Texans (-5) at the Cleveland Browns.
The human is also betting on the Miami Dolphins-Indianapolis Colts Over 38 and the Pittsburgh Steelers (+3½) against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Zaksheske’s analysis for the Commanders game is that Jayden Daniels will lead the team to a win, but he will take the two points as a safety measure.
For the Patriots-Lions game, he believes the Patriots will be motivated to prove their poor performance against the Packers was a fluke, and he is leaning toward New England.
The human’s pick on the Texans-Browns game is based on the belief that the Browns are not that good, despite the quarterback controversy between Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders.
The Over 38 in the Dolphins-Colts game is a 'Plug Your Nose and Hit ‘Place Bet’ Bet of the Week,' as the human is counting on a vintage game from Jonathan Taylor.
For the Steelers-Bengals game, Zaksheske is fading public perception, as the Bengals are only a 3½-point favorite at home despite being discussed as Super Bowl contenders.
AI's Week 10 picks
The AI’s Week 10 card includes the Kansas City Chiefs (-3½), the Minnesota Vikings-Green Bay Packers Under 42, and the Buffalo Bills (-8).
The AI’s analysis for the Chiefs game is not provided in the material, but it is noted that the AI used GPT-6.1 Sol with the thinking effort set to ultra.
The AI was prompted to pick five best bets based on odds provided, with no bet priced worse than -120, and to use at least 10 different sources for each game.
The AI’s prompt also included a request to fact-check everything before delivering the results.
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