How to stop the US-Israel war on Iran

The conflict that began on February 28 is in a lull, not an end. Major combat has paused, diplomacy has stalled, and both sides are preparing for the next round of fighting.

To understand why the fighting will soon resume, we need to understand the motivations of the two governments that started it. Neither of them wants peace.

Israel’s political leadership is consumed by the belief that its survival depends on military supremacy over the Arab world and the permanent subjugation or elimination of the Palestinian people.

This belief is a form of collective madness, yet it is the doctrine that governs Israeli policy. Israel’s leaders cannot accept that peace is within reach.

In the Arab Peace Initiative of 2002, Arab states offered Israel full normalisation in return for a Palestinian state on the 1967 borders, and that offer still stands.

Peace cannot be built on genocide in Gaza or on hatred of the Palestinian people and the drive to remove them from their land. Yet that is the path Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has chosen.

He now campaigns on it openly, with his 'national religious' allies, including Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, who twist religion in the service of hatred and killing.

US fixation on Iran

The United States is consumed by its declining power. Iran has been a target for more than 70 years.

In 1953, the CIA and British intelligence overthrew Iran’s elected prime minister, Mohammad Mossadegh, after he nationalised Iran’s oil. The United States then installed the shah and backed his police state until the Iranian people overthrew it in 1979.

The US has never forgiven Iran for escaping from US domination. The US backed Saddam Hussein’s deadly war against Iran in the 1980s, and followed with four decades of economic warfare, covert operations, cyberattacks and assassinations.

Washington’s fixation on Iran is in the service of American hegemony. In The Grand Chessboard (1997), Zbigniew Brzezinski named Iran one of five 'geopolitical pivots,' states that matter less for their own power than for where they sit.

Iran commands the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz. Brzezinski wrote that an 'antihegemonic' coalition of China, Russia and Iran could emerge 'only if the United States is shortsighted enough to antagonize China and Iran simultaneously.' Well, yes, Washington has been that shortsighted and reckless.

Signs of renewed conflict

The signs that the war will restart are not hidden. This week, War Secretary Pete Hegseth visited Israel to discuss renewed joint strikes, and Israeli sources report that the plans target Iran’s petrochemical facilities and nuclear sites.

The White House has promised that the United States will not attack Iran before the November 3 midterm elections, which is another way of announcing a timetable for war.

The US naval blockade of Iran’s ports has passed its 100th day. Trump rejected Iran’s proposal for a seven-day ceasefire in September, even though Tehran says the offer remains on the table.

Israel’s October 27 election adds fuel to the fire. On October 18, Trump endorsed Netanyahu, saying the United States would 'finish the job' against Iran only with Netanyahu in charge.

On October 21, at a rally in Dimona (home to the reactor where Israel secretly built its own nuclear arsenal), Netanyahu declared that the only way to end the Iranian threat is to overthrow the regime and said he had issued that directive to the army, Mossad and the security services.